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India's economic engine is revving up, but navigating the global headwinds requires sharp strategy. The rupee's recent volatility against the dollar underscores the complexities facing Indian businesses, impacting everything from import-export trade to domestic inflation. This week alone, we've seen significant shifts in the IT sector, with major players announcing restructuring and a renewed focus on AI-driven solutions. Meanwhile, the burgeoning startup ecosystem continues to attract substantial funding, despite a cautious global investor sentiment. The government's recent policy announcements on infrastructure development and digitalization are poised to further shape the business landscape, creating both opportunities and challenges for entrepreneurs and established corporations alike. Understanding these market dynamics is crucial for success in today's rapidly evolving Indian economy. Stay informed with Abtak.com for the latest insights and analysis on key sectors including finance, manufacturing, and technology – empowering your business decisions in a dynamic market. Explore the complete business news section now to stay ahead of the curve.

17
BusinessAug 12, 2025 12:17 PM

Can India's Sugar Stocks Regain Momentum? Output Is Likely To Rise 18%, But Ethanol Woes Cloud Outlook By Stocktwits

Stocktwits - India's sugar stocks could be headed for a crucial season. The country's sugar output is projected to rise nearly 18% in 2025-26, even as ethanol faces pricing pressures and the looming threat of tariffs on potential imports. With the government's focus on pushing ethanol-blended fuel and cane pricing in focus, the next few months will help determine if the sugar sector can regain its sweet spot. A few sugar stocks have been gaining traction on investors' radar from this space. EID Parry (India) has rallied 45% in the last six months, Balrampur Chini, and Dalmia Bharat have clocked in over 25% gains. Other notable companies include Bajaj Hindusthan (NSE:BJHN) Sugar and Shree Renuka Sugars (NSE:SRES). Strong Output Forecast India's sugar output is projected to surge nearly 18% to 34.9 million tonnes in the 2025-26 season, according to the Indian Sugar and Bio-energy Manufacturers Association (ISMA). Additionally, sugar diverted for ethanol production is expected to rise to 5 million tonnes, compared with 3.5 million tonnes in the current season. Ethanol from Sugar: The Challenges Ethanol is made from sugarcane, maize, and grains. It is a clear, colorless alcohol that is commonly used as a blending agent with petrol to reduce vehicle emissions. In August 2024, the Indian government permitted sugar mills to produce ethanol from cane juice, syrup, and B‑heavy molasses, a byproduct with higher sucrose levels. The move was expected to support the goal of 20% ethanol blending into petrol by 2025‑26. The original goal of achieving 20% blending (E20) by 2030 was brought forward to 2025 and was met in March 2025. Now the Indian government is aiming to blend 30% ethanol in petrol by 2030. However, the sugar industry hasn't yet benefited from the success of ethanol blending as the sector's share in the national ethanol program has plunged from 73% to 28% in just two years. Capacity Present, But Not Enough Utilization India has the capacity to produce 952 crore litres of ethanol per year, with the potential to divert 40 lakh tonnes of sugar. And still, only 32 lakh tonnes are expected to be used this year, which highlights the underutilization in the sector. The National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories (NFCSF) said sugar-based ethanol supply is expected to fall from 369 crore litres in 2022-23 to 250 crore litres in 2024-25, as stagnant ethanol prices lag behind rising sugarcane costs, making direct sugar sales more profitable. The Tariff Overhang The ongoing tariff-related challenges could act as another stumbling block. Last month, the Indian Sugar and Bio-energy Manufacturers Association (ISMA) objected to the proposed talks on permitting ethanol imports under the India-US trade framework, warning that it could hinder payment of the Fair and Remunerative Price (FRP) to sugarcane farmers and result in underutilization of domestic ethanol production capacity. Sugar Stocks: Mixed Moves In 2025 Using Stocktwits data, we see a mixed 2025 so far for the sugar sector, with retail investors primarily in a wait-and-watch mode. The Nifty Commodities index, by comparison, is up around 8% in the same period. Given below is the Q4 FY25 financial data for five key sugar companies. The Next Triggers: What Investors Are Watching Any upward revision in ethanol pricing is likely to boost sentiment for sugar stocks. Additionally, clarity on import pricing for ethanol during the upcoming US-India trade discussions will be crucial. For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

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BusinessDec 02, 2024 03:40 PM

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BusinessNov 27, 2024 09:12 PM

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BusinessNov 28, 2024 01:30 PM

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