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India's economic engine is revving up, but navigating the global headwinds requires sharp strategy. The rupee's recent volatility against the dollar underscores the complexities facing Indian businesses, impacting everything from import-export trade to domestic inflation. This week alone, we've seen significant shifts in the IT sector, with major players announcing restructuring and a renewed focus on AI-driven solutions. Meanwhile, the burgeoning startup ecosystem continues to attract substantial funding, despite a cautious global investor sentiment. The government's recent policy announcements on infrastructure development and digitalization are poised to further shape the business landscape, creating both opportunities and challenges for entrepreneurs and established corporations alike. Understanding these market dynamics is crucial for success in today's rapidly evolving Indian economy. Stay informed with Abtak.com for the latest insights and analysis on key sectors including finance, manufacturing, and technology – empowering your business decisions in a dynamic market. Explore the complete business news section now to stay ahead of the curve.

24
BusinessDec 17, 2025 06:53 AM

Rupee slides to record low of 91.08 amid FII outflows, FDI repatriation

Kolkata: The rupee, already the weakest Asian currency this year in a back-loaded retreat against the US dollar, Tuesday breached the 91 mark for the first time on unabated outflows from local assets by overseas investors. The currency, which Tuesday touched a fresh all-time low of 91.08, has depreciated over 6% this year against the US dollar, the world's reserve currency in which both traded and investable assets are priced across geographies. 'Pace of Decline to Slow' Nearly half of that depreciation took place in less than a month, between November 19 and December 16, when the rupee retreated as much as 2.66%. The rupee finally settled Tuesday at 91.03 against the dollar, which is a record closing low for the unit. It depreciated 30 paise from its previous close of 90.73. "FDI repatriation and nearly the worst-ever FPI outflows have pressured capital inflows, but we expect these to be temporary," said Axis Bank Chief Economist Neelkanth Mishra, who believes the rupee's precipitate fall within a very short period owes more to speculation than alterations in fundamentals. Mishra expects the pace of decline to slow as India's Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) has fallen significantly below 100, making the currency internationally competitive vis-a-vis rivals. "With the REER falling sharply, and balance of payments trends supportive, we expect the depreciation pressures to abate," said Mishra. A reading below 100 for the REER indicates relative competitive advantage in the export markets. FORWARD PREMIUM Meanwhile, as the currency continued to slide against the dollar, the annualised forward premium rose to 2.66% from 2.21% since November 27, highlighting steady dollar demand from importers. Market participants said the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was not intervening much in the spot market. Rather, the central bank appeared to shift its attention to the forwards segment as it had a large overhang of short dollar forward positions. Axis Bank's Mishra said the central bank reached its intervention limit after $88 billion was deployed to protect the currency in just three months late last year. "As intervention limits were reached, the RBI was forced to allow the USD/INR to break out of its band, leading to a rapid move past 90," he said. Other experts concurred with Mishra. "In the current setup, RBI's sizable short-dollar forward positions ($63 billion as on end October, 2025) have shifted the intervention focus away from the spot market," said Shinhan Bank India's head of treasury Kunal Sodhani. "While this provided temporary stability earlier, it has reduced the RBI's willingness to sell dollars aggressively in the spot market, leaving the rupee more exposed to flow-driven pressures." NSDL data showed that a net $2.846 billion exited the Indian markets in December alone while the equity market saw an outflow of $1.918 billion. Axis Bank projected the rupee at 90 to a dollar by June 2026 and 92 a dollar by June 2027, with the pace of depreciation dependent on evolution of capital flows and global risk appetite. Forex market veteran KN Dey said the rupee would remain volatile in December. "The rupee seems to have moved in an uncharted area. It is very difficult to say how far it will go," he said.

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India's Manufacturing Sector Growth Falls To 11-month Low Of 56.5 In November On Price Pressures - News18

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All-New 3rd Generation Honda Amaze makes its Global Debut in India - APN News

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BusinessNov 27, 2024 09:21 PM

Russia's VTB says U.S. sanctions are behind rouble's fall By Reuters

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BusinessNov 29, 2024 10:43 AM

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BusinessNov 18, 2024 04:56 AM

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BusinessNov 26, 2024 01:36 PM

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BusinessNov 29, 2024 10:47 AM

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BusinessDec 04, 2024 03:47 PM

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BusinessNov 28, 2024 01:30 PM

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BusinessDec 02, 2024 01:20 PM

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BusinessDec 02, 2024 03:44 PM

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35
BusinessDec 03, 2024 04:22 PM

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22
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EntertainmentNov 26, 2024 02:44 PM

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