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28
BusinessOct 27, 2025 09:27 PM

India and the US: India must negotiate a favourable FTA for giving up Russian oil

India faces a dilemma: Should it continue buying Russian oil one way or another, or cease its imports altogether? For sure, the US has no right to dictate how two sovereign nations conduct their bilateral trade. While Russian companies have been sanctioned by the US, Moscow has no intention of stopping its oil exports. It is for the importing countries, such as India and China, to decide whether they are willing to risk potential secondary sanctions from the US for doing business with the sanctioned Russian entities. That said, India currently has two options. The first is to continue purchasing Russian oil, which will be available despite American sanctions. In doing so, Indian buyers could attempt to bypass US sanction by sourcing oil through middlemen, avoiding direct dealings that could draw attention and attendant sanctions. India could also leverage the existing shadow fleets to bring Russian oil covertly to its refineries. While these strategies could help maintain energy supply, they also risk provoking Trump's ire and potential sanctions. Equally importantly, defying American sanctions, especially those imposed by a mercurial Trump may not be the smartest course of action. Pushing against Trump is akin to banging one's head against a stone wall -- it is neither effective nor prudent. Even China, which has considerably more leverage over the US than India, has so far indicated it is likely to halt purchases from the sanctioned Russian firms as well. If picking a fight with Trump makes little sense, India would be better served by adopting a pragmatic approach to its Russian oil purchases: One that is able to balance diplomatic considerations, energy needs, and economic interests without engaging in unnecessary confrontations that could harm its broader strategic goals. That is option number two. This option relates to operating within the constraints of the Trump administration's sanctions on Russia. In geopolitics, you play with the cards you are dealt, not with the ones you wish for, which may never be made available to you. In a world of geopolitical pragmatism, the key criterion for India's decision on buying Russian oil should not be whether it is done under US pressure or not, rather which of the available choices will deliver the maximum benefit to India. A pragmatic strategy to balance US sanctions and India's national interests would involve a series of calculated measures. Let's consider some of them. One, New Delhi can still buy oil from non-sanctioned Russian energy companies. Besides Rosneft and Lukoil, the two sanctioned Russian oil majors, there are still other non-sanctioned entities who India can buy oil from without attracting American secondary sanctions. It's the two Russian firms that are sanctioned, not Russian oil per se. This is however easier said than done. Two, viewing the issue of Russian oil in isolation would be short-sighted. India's decision to purchase Russian oil or not must be considered in the broader context of its ability to push back against US sanctions, the likelihood of the success of such pushback, and the impact on India's larger strategic interests vis-à-vis the US. In other words, New Delhi must consider its broader interests vis-à-vis the US when deciding whether to abide by the American sanctions on Russia. For India, the priority is securing a favourable trade agreement with Washington and ensuring the US removes the additional 25% tariff imposed by the Trump administration for buying Russian oil. If Delhi negotiates cleverly, a trade deal could trim the 25% tariff imposed on Indian products under Trump's first tariff decision, while ceasing Russian oil purchases might reduce to remove the additional 25% imposed later. Put differently, India should consider halting its Russian oil purchases in exchange for a favourable trade deal with the US. New Delhi also has other medium-term interests vis-à-vis the US. While pushing back against Trump's unilateral sanctions might surely boost our national pride, tangible benefits of national pride are generally limited, and the risks far outweigh the gains. Instead, Delhi should consider offering to cease buying sanctioned Russian oil in exchange for a shift in US policy, i.e., an end to Trump's adverse geopolitical stance towards India in South Asia. India should seek US cooperation to restore a favourable regional balance of power in the Indo-Pacific, ensuring that their strategic interests are aligned in the broader regional context. To be clear, New Delhi has limited options when it comes to defying American sanctions on Russian oil companies. So, it must make a virtue out of necessity by engaging with the Trump administration and proposing that India will comply with US sanctions in exchange for the US addressing India's key strategic interests. Geopolitics and national interests require pragmatic, realist approaches rather than efforts to massage national egos.

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1
PoliticsNov 26, 2024 01:54 PM

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U.S. President-elect Donald Trump said on Monday that on his first day in office he would impose a 25% tariff on all products from Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China, citing concerns over illegal immigration and the trade of illicit drugs. "On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous Open Borders," Trump said in a post on Truth Social. Trump said the tariffs would remain in place until the two countries ...Read More >

26
BusinessJan 21, 2025 11:24 AM

Gold benefits from softer dollar

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38
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34
BusinessJan 31, 2025 09:18 PM

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38
BusinessDec 02, 2024 03:46 PM

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29
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30
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18
PoliticsJun 06, 2025 12:43 AM

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33
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27
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25
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28
BusinessNov 18, 2024 04:56 AM

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The U.S. dollar continued its strong run on Monday, bolstered by soaring Treasury yields and expectations of limited Federal Reserve rate cuts. Meanwhile, the yen steadied ahead of a key speech by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, where he may hint at a possible rate hike in December, with markets pricing a 55% chance of such a move. Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato's warning on yen intervention caused a temporary pullback, while the dollar index touched a one-year high of 107.07. Analysts forecast further dollar gains as U.S. economic policies and performance outshine global peers. K ...Read More >

16
BusinessNov 26, 2024 01:57 PM

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Euro zone government bond yields increased slightly as investors await upcoming inflation data that may influence the European Central Bank's policy direction. Concerns over potential tariff hikes from the U.S. could further impact ECB strategies. Germany's bond yields and political tensions in France also add to the economic uncertainties. On Tuesday, euro zone government bond yields saw a minor increase after hitting multi-week lows in the previous session. Investors are keenly awaiting inflation data later this week that could provide insight into the European Central Bank's potential poli ...Read More >

22
BusinessNov 28, 2024 10:50 AM

China's Market Woes Amidst Trade War Uncertainty | Headlines

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18
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27
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New Delhi, Feb 4 (PTI) Finance Secretary Tuhin Kanta Pandey on Tuesday said the government has taken measures to lower fiscal deficit and delivered a non-inflationary Budget, and hoped that the RBI's monetary policy will work in tandem with fiscal policy to support growth. He also said that although rupee depreciation increases inflation on imported inputs, it also adds to export competitiveness. Pandey said that the government has bettered its fiscal deficit projections for the current fiscal as well as the next. The fiscal deficit for FY'25 has been pegged lower at 4.8 per cent of GDP, low ...Read More >

28
BusinessMay 29, 2025 02:24 PM

Trump tariff declared unlawful; India must reassess US trade deal: GTRI

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19
BusinessJun 05, 2025 09:07 PM

Silver hits it highest level in 13-years on weaker USD and solid demand says experts

New Delhi [India], June 5 (ANI): Silver prices on Thursday, crossed USD 35 mark per ounce and hit its highest level since March 2012, boosted by a combination of factors such as weaker US dollar, rising geopoltical tension and robust industrial demand. 'With the trust in dollar decreasing silver appears to be a good avenue for money to move to and the Gold Silver ratio was recently above 1.10 so the only way forward was either silver prices rise up or gold prices fall, and thats what has happened silver has risen far more than gold,' said Mrinesh Jain Director, Bombay Bullion Metal Hub LLP. ...Read More >

29
PoliticsNov 18, 2024 05:02 AM

G20 talks in Rio reach breakthrough on climate finance, sources say

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23
PoliticsNov 26, 2024 01:57 PM

China Open to 'Dialogue' with US After Trump Tariff Threats

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27
PoliticsNov 26, 2024 08:48 PM

Trump tariff threat on Canada, Mexico and China roils the world - Times of India

TOI correspondent from Washington: In a warning shot that echoed across major world capitals and business majors on Tuesday, US President-elect Donald Trump said he will issue executive orders on day one of his presidency imposing new tariffs on all imported goods from China, Mexico and Canada, Washington's three largest trading partners, to stop the "invasion" of illegal migrants and drugs into the United States. In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump put the onus of containing illegal border crossings squarely on two immediate neighbors on its southern and northern borders, saying "b ...Read More >

24
PoliticsDec 02, 2024 01:17 PM

Russia and North Korea Join Forces in the War Against Ukraine: Global Ramifications

In the Indo-Pacific region, if one development would prove to be a landmark event in the region's modern history, it would be the signing of the Treaty of Comprehensive Partnership between North Korea and Russia in June 2024. The partnership has paved the way for strengthening bilateral ties between Moscow and Pyongyang and marked the onset of the global order transition, which was already underway. The institutionalization of the U.S., South Korea, and Japan's trilateral security cooperation has also given Russia and North Korea another strategic reason to collaborate. Therefore, with the geo ...Read More >

20
BusinessDec 02, 2024 03:44 PM

Trump's tariff threat to BRICS nations may end up backfiring

Trump's pressure on countries to remain tied to a US-dollar-based financial system could backfire, with potential increased motivation for BRICS to create alternatives. While the dollar's dominance persists due to existing economic strengths, recent global currency agreements indicate a cautious shift away from reliance on the greenback.Donald Trump's pressure on countries around the world to stay anchored to a US-dollar-based financial system is a tactic that risks backfiring, market watchers say. Dollar dominance looks set to continue for the foreseeable future and emerging nations' idea of ...Read More >

18
BusinessJan 31, 2025 10:55 PM

Time to reduce excessive regulatory burden on industry: Economic Survey

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23
BusinessDec 03, 2024 02:59 PM

Nifty 50 above 100-DEMA. Five factors that are driving the Indian stock market. Is a Santa Claus rally around? | Stock Market News

Stock market today: The Indian stock market clocked healthy gains for the third consecutive session on Tuesday, December 3, led by gains in shares of select heavyweights, including Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank and Larsen and Toubro. Benchmark index Nifty 50 jumped 0.70 per cent to the level of 24,445.80, breaking above its 50 and 100-day exponential moving averages (DEMA). According to Trendlyne, an equity research platform, Nifty 50 is above its 100-day EMA of 24,306 and 50-day EMA of 24,364. However, the index is yet to breach its 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) of 24,643 ...Read More >

21
BusinessNov 27, 2024 12:26 PM

Indian stock market opens almost flat due to muted global cues

Mumbai: Indian stock markets on Wednesday opened near the flatline on a cautious note, tracking the subdued sentiment in Asian markets. At the opening of the trade, Nifty at National Stock Exchange (NSE) started at 24,204.80, up 10.30 points and Sensex at 80,121.03, up by about 122 points. In the opening trade, the stocks of Coal India, Adani Enterprises, Mahindra and Mahindra, Adani Ports, and Kotak Banks were the top gainers. On the other hand, IndusInd Bank, Cipla, Tata Consumer Products, Bharti Airtel, and UltraTech Cement were the major losers on the NSE. Among the sectoral indices, Aut ...Read More >

17
BusinessNov 28, 2024 10:54 AM

Asia's November crude oil imports nudge higher, still heading for annual fall: Russell

(The views expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.) By Clyde Russell LAUNCESTON, Australia, Nov 28 (Reuters) - Asia's imports of crude oil ticked up slightly in November, led by a recovery by top importer China, but arrivals are still on track to be weaker this year than in 2023. The top crude-buying region is forecast to import 26.42 million barrels per day (bpd) in November, up marginally from October's 26.11 million bpd and 26.24 million bpd in September, according to data compiled by LSEG Oil Research. The ongoing run of soft monthly imports in Asia is likely t ...Read More >

20
HealthJan 31, 2025 09:54 PM

Akshay Kumar, doctors, people from different walks of life support PM Modi's clarion call to fight obesity, reduce oil consumption

New Delhi [India], January 31 (ANI): The clarion call given by Prime Minister Narendra Modi to fight obesity and reduce oil consumption has received wide support as people from different walks of life, including actor Akshay Kumar, sportspersons and people from medical fraternity lauded the message to follow healthy routine. Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently gave a clarion call to fight obesity and reduce oil consumption. This has received wide support from doctors, sportspersons as well as people from different walks of life. Prime Minister, Narendra Modi inaugurated the 38th National G ...Read More >

24
BusinessFeb 03, 2025 04:59 PM

Sensex, Nifty fall amid weak global trends; metal, oil & gas stocks hit hard

MUMBAI: India's stock markets on Monday were trading lower as weak global cues and a decline in Asian markets weighed on investor sentiment. The benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, struggled throughout the day, with most sectors witnessing losses. At the closing bell, the BSE Sensex had dropped 319.22 points, or 0.41 per cent, to settle at 77, 186.74, while the Nifty was down 121.10 points, or 0.52 per cent, to close the trading session at 23, 361.05. The decline in the Indian share market is due to US President Donald Trump's decision to impose a 25 per cent tariff on imports from Canada ...Read More >

20
BusinessFeb 04, 2025 05:12 PM

Sensex, Nifty rebounds to settle at one-month high after Trump delays tariff action

Mumbai: Benchmark stock indices Sensex and Nifty rebounded nearly 2 per cent on Tuesday in line with a recovery in Asian peers after US President Donald Trump delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada for a month. The 30-share BSE Sensex jumped 1,397.07 points or 1.81 per cent to settle at a month's high of 78,583.81. During the day, it surged 1,471.85 points or 1.90 per cent to 78,658.59. The NSE Nifty soared 378.20 points or 1.62 per cent to 23,739.25, a level not seen since January 3. From the 30-share blue-chip pack, Larsen & Toubro rallied nearly 5 per cent. Adani Ports, IndusInd Bank, Tata ...Read More >